Trump's tweet on solid jobs report breaks protocol aimed at preventing investors from making early trades
For decades, federal officials have taken great care to prevent providing any early indications to investors about monthly jobs report data that can move markets.
On Friday, President Trump broke that longstanding protocol using his favorite communication tool â" Twitter â" triggering a jump in yields on the 10-year Treasury bond and an outcry from former White House officials.Advertisement
Trump, who learned about the strong May jobs report Thursday night, tweeted Friday morning that he was âlooking forward to seeing the employment numbersâ due to be released by the Labor Department about an hour later.
A top White House official emphasized that Trump didnât reveal any of the numbers, but investors took it as a clear sign the numbers were good. And they werenât disappointed.
The results showed stronger-than-expected job gains of 223,000 in May with the unemployment rate ticking down to 3.8%, the lowest since 2000.
Trumpâs tweet gave investors who were paying attention to Twitter on Friday morning â" or who got alerts about Trump's tweet â" a head start on making decisions about stocks and other investments that would be affected by strong numbers.
In tweeting about the report when he did, Trump violated a longstanding prohibition against executive branch officials publicly commenting on the report before its official release or within an hour afterward.
"Except for members of the staff of the agency issuing the principal economic indicator who have been designated by the agency head to provide technical explanations of the data, employees of the Executive Branch shall not comment publicly on the data until at least one hour after the official release time,â according to the the White House Office of Management and Budget's Statistical Policy Directive No. 3, adopted in 1985.
The directive said part of the intent is to âprevent early access to information that may affect financial and commodity markets, and preserve the distinction between the policy-neutral release of data by statistical agencies and their interpretation by policy officials.â
The jobs report is the most significant economic data the government releases each month, with data on the state of the labor market, including wages and the unemployment rate. Investors eagerly await the figures, which are closely guarded.
Journalists get an early look at the report the morning of its release in a special room at the Labor Department with no Internet or cellphone access to prevent any news coming out before the official release time.
Fridayâs report, which showed job growth that exceeded analyst forecasts and solid wage gains, caused th e yield on the 10-year Treasury bond and the Dow Jones industrial average to jump after its formal release.
Those moves reflected investors selling safe securities such as Treasury bonds and moving into riskier but potentially more rewarding stocks in response to a jobs report showing economic conditions continue to improve.
In March of last year, then-White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer ran afoul of the directive when he took to Twitter 22 minutes after the Bureau of Labor Statistics had released the jobs report for the previous month to tout that the 235,000 net jobs gain and the slight decline in the unemployment rate were "great news for American workers."
Spicer said at the time that his understanding of the rule was that it was designed to avoid affecting the stock market and noted that he was only tweeting the headline numbers that news organizations around the world already had reported.
"I apologize if weâre a little excited and weâre so glad to see so many fellow Americans back at work," he said.Advertisement
Since then, Trump administration officials have been careful not to violate the directive. Before Friday, Trump had never tweeted ahead of the jobs report, even when there was stronger job creation than Mayâs payroll gain.
Former officials from the Obama, Bush and Clinton administrations said Trumpâs tweet violated the directive.
âYou should have gotten the employment numbers from the Council of Economic Advisers yesterday,â tweeted Jason Furman, who chaired the council under Obama from 2013 until early 2017. âAnd if this tweet is conveying inside information about a particularly good jobs number you should never get them in advance from the Council of Economic Advisers again.â
But Trumpâs top economic advisor, Larry Kudlow, said that the president didnât violate th e directive because he only said he was awaiting the release of the numbers âlike everyone else.â
âYou can read into that 10 different things if you want to read into it,â Kudlow said on CNBC. âI donât think he gave anything away, incidentally. I think this was all according to routine, law and custom.â
Kudlow said that, as is custom, the Labor Department gave the jobs report to Kevin Hassett, chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, on Thursday. Hassett shared the data with Kudlow, who is director of the White House National Economic Council.
âItâs my call whether to send them over to the president.â¦ Thatâs just what I did last evening,â Kudlow said. âI tracked him down on Air Force One. I wanted him to know the numbers.â¦ He chose to tweet.â
Tony Fratto, a former Treasury and White House official in the George W. Bush administration, objected on Twitter to the assertion by former Obama administration eco nomic official Austan Goolsbee that Trump had divulged classified information.
âWhat's illegal is TRADING on the information â" depending on how you acquired it,â Fratto tweeted. âIt's not classified information, but it is market sensitive.â
Fridayâs jobs report exceeded analyst expectations of payroll gains of about 190,000. April job growth was revised down slightly to 159,000.
Average hourly earnings jumped 8 cents in May to $26.92, the biggest increase since December. For the 12 months ended May 31, wages have increased 2.7%. That is approaching the strong paycheck growth Americans have been awaiting in the recovery from the Great Recession.
The retail sector, which has been struggling with bankruptcies of once popular retail chains as Americans buy more online, added 31,100 jobs in May, up from 8,800 the previous month. Healthcare, construction, leisure, hospitality, transportation and warehousing em ployers also boosted their hiring compared with April.
Manufacturers added 18,000 jobs in May, down from 25,000 the previous month but continuing a rebound in that sector in recent years.AdvertisementSource: Google News